A Tale of Two Governments
The next fiasco in the Lebanese story is going to be the possibility of having two governments, one controlled by March 14 and the other by March 8. The question is will hizballah actually do it?
It is a simple formula: two governments= breakup of Lebanon
and if this happens, nothing will put humpty-dumpty back together again.
To form this government, Nasrallah is in desperate need for Aoun to be aboard the ship, or it will look like a Shiite Separation Act, and Aoun is showing no indications of being willing to be "the second government that nobody in the world recognises" again. I seriously doubt that Aoun will repeat that mistake twice. In fact Aoun just declared his readiness to fight in the by-elections, a clear split with Hizballah about the issue. Even that idiot Franjieh has agreed to the by-elections, though I'm not sure how they have anything to do with him, since they are out of the area of his jurisdiction. Are things falling apart in the March 8 camp?
Recently I had an argument with other bloggers (on BeirutSpring) about the reconciliation talks. I am for them , everybody else is against them. Apparently I'm letting down "the cause" if I think the M14 are wrong not to sit down and talk with the M8. I disagree. I think I'm right (obviously). The M8 have refused idiotically to come to the negotiation table for about a year now unless their demands were fulfilled first i.e. give us what we want, end of negotiations. Now the M14 are doing the same. I think the original move was idiotic on the part of the M8's and now I think the M14 are falling into the same way of thinking, the "we can win it all".
Well actually we can't win it all. This is not some sports competition, this is a country, and we're going to have to share. The M8's have their grievances and they must be addressed, the most realistic of which is proportional representation, which is fair enough if you believe in democracy. And how are we gonna talk them out of the standing with Syria against us if we don't talk to them at all ?
Worse of all if we become as stubborn as they have been, don't we become just as responsible for what is happening? This country is falling apart, there's no question about it. The question now becomes, will we be able to save it before it disintigrates completely?
For all of you out there arguing against the talks. What other (realistic) options do you propose to solve the problem?